BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Ball St

Class: 1 Class Rank: 160 Conference: Mid-American Record: (11-7) Overall: (20-11) Overall Strength =   23.02

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Home    W    23.02 109  39   ZZ 324 (  0-  1) Earlham                -0.00 *   70.00                      
  2 11-12-2022 Away    L    19.85  71  83    1  92 ( 22- 12) Indiana St             -3.17     -8.83                      
  3 11-16-2022 Away    W    26.75  71  61    1 307 (  9- 23) NE Omaha                3.74      6.26                      
  4 11-19-2022 Home    W    23.02  86  72   ZZ  21 (  0-  1) IN S Bend              -0.00     14.00                      
  5 11-25-2022 Neutral L    19.55  73  78    1 128 ( 21- 10) Vermont                -3.47     -1.53                      
  6 11-26-2022 Neutral W    26.77  67  64    1 149 ( 17- 15) Missouri St             3.75     -0.75                      
  7 11-27-2022 Neutral L    24.98  65  67    1 101 ( 19- 12) San Jose St             1.96     -3.96                      
  8 12-03-2022 Away    L    28.23  77  78    1 118 ( 20- 11) Duquesne                5.21     -6.21                      
  9 12-07-2022 Away    W    30.91  76  59    1 342 (  9- 22) E Illinois              7.89      9.11                      
 10 12-10-2022 Home    W    24.05  88  69    1 348 (  5- 27) Evansville              1.03     17.97                      
 11 12-17-2022 Neutral W    29.90  83  69    1 274 ( 11- 21) Illinois St             6.88      7.12                      
 12 12-21-2022 Home    W    20.65  58  54    1 210 ( 17- 16) Ga Southern            -2.37      6.37                      
 13 12-28-2022 Home    W    17.85  70  63    1 297 ( 11- 20) Chicago St             -5.17     12.17                      
 14 01-03-2023 Away    W *  39.65  90  83    1  87 ( 25-  6) Toledo                 16.63     -9.63                      
 15 01-06-2023 Home    W *  30.20  70  63    1 107 ( 21- 10) Akron                   7.18     -0.18                      
 16 01-10-2023 Away    L *  23.14  71  76    1 136 ( 18- 13) Ohio                    0.12     -5.12                      
 17 01-14-2023 Home    W *  25.82  75  61    1 278 ( 12- 19) Miami OH                2.81     11.19                      
 18 01-17-2023 Home    W *  10.74  71  70    1 319 (  8- 23) Western Michigan      -12.28     13.28                      
 19 01-20-2023 Away    L *  13.29  65  86    1  78 ( 25-  6) Kent                   -9.73    -11.27                      
 20 01-24-2023 Home    L *  -8.83  65  91    1 204 ( 15- 16) Buffalo               -31.85      5.85                      
 21 01-28-2023 Away    W *  39.30  87  69    1 245 ( 13- 18) Northern Illinois      16.28      1.72                      
 22 01-31-2023 Away    W *  27.55  69  60    1 285 ( 11- 20) Bowling Green           4.53      4.47                      
 23 02-03-2023 Home    W *  10.19  91  90 1  1 321 (  8- 23) Eastern Michigan      -12.82     13.82                      
 24 02-07-2023 Away    W *  28.80  65  51    1 330 ( 10- 21) Central Michigan        5.79      8.21                      
 25 02-11-2023 Home    W *  32.80  93  72    1 285 ( 11- 20) Bowling Green           9.78     11.22                      
 26 02-14-2023 Home    W *  24.55  87  77    1 245 ( 13- 18) Northern Illinois       1.53      8.47                      
 27 02-18-2023 Away    L *   6.49  68  78    1 319 (  8- 23) Western Michigan      -16.53      6.53                      
 28 02-21-2023 Home    W *  39.54  82  70    1  78 ( 25-  6) Kent                   16.52     -4.52                      
 29 02-25-2023 Away    L *   8.94  68  75    1 321 (  8- 23) Eastern Michigan      -14.07      7.07                      
 30 02-28-2023 Away    L *  25.95  83  87    1 107 ( 21- 10) Akron                   2.94     -6.94                      
 31 03-03-2023 Home    L *  19.90  81  87    1  87 ( 25-  6) Toledo                 -3.12     -2.88                      
      Averages              23.02  76.6 71.0

Best game:   39.65 = 7 point win over Toledo
Worst game:  -8.83 = 26 point loss to Buffalo
Team stdev:  10.27